@not_a_charmRiyadh reportedly contacted Washington twice in one day and got no response, a detail Robert Barnes treats as the opening data point for his forecast. His analysis suggests the House of Saud rents an army instead of building one from its own citizens, meaning those mercenaries will eventually leave once the funding stops. The Houthis are reported to have sent a thank-you note regarding American-supplied trucks, which Barnes sees as proof that Saudi Arabia relied on hired forces who drove off when the checks cleared. He characterizes the kingdom as being built on unstable foundations, specifically quoting that it is built on a house of desert sand rather than poured concrete. This lack of permanent structural integrity extends to the ruling family, where Barnes suggests the Wahhabi base now isolates them while relatives remain confined in luxury accommodations like the Ritz. The public observed the crown prince abandoning Palestinians while seeking Israeli assistance against Yemen, a sequence Barnes finds telling. He references the year 1918 when four empires were erased within a decade, speculating that Iran and Ukraine may be causing similar historical erasures right now. #Politics

@not_a_charmRiyadh reportedly contacted Washington twice in one day and got no response, a detail Robert Barnes treats as the opening data point for his forecast. His analysis suggests the House of Saud rents an army instead of building one from its own citizens, meaning those mercenaries will eventually leave once the funding stops. The Houthis are reported to have sent a thank-you note regarding American-supplied trucks, which Barnes sees as proof that Saudi Arabia relied on hired forces who drove off when the checks cleared. He characterizes the kingdom as being built on unstable foundations, specifically quoting that it is built on a house of desert sand rather than poured concrete. This lack of permanent structural integrity extends to the ruling family, where Barnes suggests the Wahhabi base now isolates them while relatives remain confined in luxury accommodations like the Ritz. The public observed the crown prince abandoning Palestinians while seeking Israeli assistance against Yemen, a sequence Barnes finds telling. He references the year 1918 when four empires were erased within a decade, speculating that Iran and Ukraine may be causing similar historical erasures right now. #Politics